Scenario Laboratory
Preset scenarios are illustrative demonstrations only; they do not represent existing TBP agreements or government commitments. Print / Save PDF Report creates a clean report of the current V2.1 Expanded scenario; in the browser print dialog choose a printer or “Save as PDF”.
Scenario intelligence: Select a case study and load it to see its policy focus.
1. Agreement Design
Keeps sector/timeframe guidance subordinate to the core monetary agreement rather than converting the agreement back into commodity quotas.
Participating Countries, Economies & Blocs
The country selector contains the 193 UN member states plus the Holy See and Palestine. The bloc library covers major multilateral regional, customs, economic and trade groupings. Custom authority lets you model any additional arrangement without implying a legal status or existing treaty.
2. Live Sovereign Dashboard
ACTIVE
Agreement Cap
—
Authorised monetary envelope
Utilised
—
0 approved trades
Remaining
—
Available pool
SME Share
—
Share of approved value
Imbalance Index
—
0 = balanced directional flows
Top Sector
—
No utilisation
Tariff Benefit
—
Indicative preference saving
Agreement Utilisation Over Simulated Time
Operating Position
Participants / authorities0
Verified traders0
Approved / blocked0 / 0
Projected utilisation rate—
Indicative days to depletion—
Route limits active0
Policy layerOFF
3. Execute a Trade
Tariff values are scenario assumptions only. The simulator estimates the economic effect of a preference; it does not determine customs classification or a legal tariff rate.
4. Bulk Trade Simulation
Bulk mode is stochastic. It stress-tests utilisation, directional balance, inclusion, sector mix and tariff-preference effects; it is not a forecast.
5. Sovereign Intervention Console
Directional Sub-Limit
A directional sub-limit sits inside the overall monetary envelope. It can manage asymmetry without requiring commodity-by-commodity treaty quotas.
6. Directional Trade Flows & Balance
| Participant | Exports | Imports | Net | Share of Activity |
|---|
The imbalance index is analytical: it measures how unevenly approved exports and imports are distributed across participants. A balanced agreement can still have strategic asymmetry where sovereign authorities permit it.
7. Tariff Preference Impact
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Reference Tariff Burden
—
Agreement Tariff Burden
—
Indicative Saving
—
Average Percentage-Point Preference
Interpretation: tariff preference is treated as one optional economic layer within the agreement. A government could model zero-tariff, reduced-tariff or unchanged-tariff trade while still using the monetary cap, live compliance and shared corridor governance.
8. Tourism & Cultural Exchange Impact
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Monetary Activity
0
Exchange Events
0
People Participating
0
Organisations Engaged
Commercial tourism and cultural-industry transactions can consume the monetary pool as trade activity. Purely non-commercial exchanges can be measured here as a parallel people-to-people KPI without reducing the agreement cap.
9. Sector Utilisation & Concentration
Top sector share—
Sector HHI—
Sector tracking is analytical unless the sovereign policy-allocation layer is enabled. Minerals are aggregated under “Minerals & Critical Minerals”; Gold and Lithium are not separate treaty sectors.
10. Rules of Origin & Neutral Corridor Production Laboratory
Model the full manufacturing chain rather than treating final production and final handling as the same event. The Laboratory separates corporate nationality, physical production jurisdiction, TBP customs status, national origin, agreement eligibility, domestic market release and onward export. It is an indicative treaty-design tool, not a customs ruling engine.
Core TBP principle: Neutrality ≠ extraterritoriality. A TBP Neutral Corridor facility can provide neutral access, protocol governance and sovereign-recognised customs treatment while remaining legally situated within the host sovereign territory. The Corridor should make origin portable, traceable, cumulative and compatible with distributed manufacturing — not erase origin.
Manufacturing chain: Configure the production pathway and run an assessment.
Corporate / Sponsoring Economy
—
Corporate nationality is tracked separately from product origin.
Physical Production Jurisdiction
—
Where the final substantive production actually occurs.
Customs / TBP Status
—
Neutral operating status does not remove host-state jurisdiction.
Indicative National Origin
Not assessed
Subject to the actual product-specific rule and domestic law.
TBP Agreement Status
—
Origin Continuity™, Corridor Production Cumulation™ or Agreement-Qualifying Corridor Goods™ may be used where sovereign parties provide for them.
Market of Release Treatment
—
Distinguishes imported finished goods from domestic production inside the importing Party.
Onward Export Treatment
—
Tests whether the finished product would need a fresh origin / preference assessment when exported onward.
Sovereign Review
—
Sovereign authorities retain control of recognition, thresholds, proof, audit and customs treatment.
Assessment rationale: Configure the manufacturing chain and run an assessment.
1. Origin Continuity™
An already-originating good may pass through a TBP node under customs control and retain origin where the agreement permits non-alteration operations such as transit, storage, labelling or other limited handling.
2. Corridor Cumulation™
Participating governments may allow agreed originating materials and processing undertaken across their territories and approved TBP nodes to count toward the applicable product-specific origin rule.
3. TBP Corridor Production Cumulation™
Qualifying production undertaken at an Agreement-Recognised TBP Neutral Corridor facility located within either participating Party may contribute to originating status, subject to the treaty product-specific rule, customs treatment and verification requirements.
4. Agreement-Qualifying Corridor Goods™
For substantive production outside participating national territory, TBP proposes an express treaty-annex pathway granting agreement eligibility without falsely deeming the goods to have a national origin they do not legally possess.
TBP Neutral Corridor Origin Protocol™: the preferred architecture distinguishes national origin from agreement eligibility. A manufacturer should not acquire product origin merely from corporate nationality or TBP participation. Where final substantive production occurs inside the importing Party — including at a TBP Neutral Corridor facility — the finished product may instead become production of that importing Party if the applicable origin rule is met. If released domestically there, the finished good is not being imported into that market; preferential treatment may instead matter for imported inputs or later onward exports.
11. Transaction & Compliance Ledger
| # | Origin | Destination | Trader | Sector | Status | Value | Tariff Saving | Pool Balance |
|---|